000
FZPN03 KNHC 140928
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC FRI JUL 14 2017

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FRI JUL 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT JUL 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN JUL 16.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 11.0N 117.9W 975 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 14
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS
105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT
20 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE
AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AREA
BOUNDED BY 15N120W TO 15N114W TO 08N114W TO 08N120W TO 15N120W 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 11.0N 121.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM
OF CENTER EXCEPT 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150
NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 33 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 16N125W TO 16N116W TO 06N116W TO 06N125W 
TO 16N125W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 12.0N 125.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM
NW AND SE QUADRANTS...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS
12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE
WITH SEAS TO 39 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 19N132W TO 
19N119W TO 02N119W TO 02N132W TO 19N132W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 13.5N 130.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR 
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 14.5N 134.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 16.0N 137.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES...REMNANTS OF EUGENE...NEAR 26N126W 1014 MB DRIFTING 
NW AT 05 KT. WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 29N129W TO 29N125W TO 
26N125W TO 26N129W TO 29N129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN
MIXED NE AND S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...REMNANTS OF EUGENE...NEAR 27.5N129W
1014 MB. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES DISSIPATED. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 16N96W TO 16N95W TO 15N95W TO 15N96W TO
16N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC... N TO NE WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 15N97W TO 15N95W TO
14N95W TO 14N97W TO 15N97W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 15N97W TO 15N95W TO
14N95W TO 14N97W TO 15N97W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST  WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC FRI JUL 14...

.HURRICANE FERNANDA...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG 
WITHIN 90 NM IN N SEMICIRCLE, AND WITHIN 150 NM IN S SEMICIRCLE.

.SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF THE 
MEXICAN COAST BETWEEN 95W AND 102W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM FROM 08N78W TO 11N110W, THEN 
RESUMES FROM 11N120W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED
STRONG N OF 05N AND E OF 06N.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.