000
FZPN03 KNHC 140254
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC FRI JUL 14 2017

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI JUL 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT JUL 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN JUL 16.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING... 
.HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 11.0N 117.0W 988 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 14 
MOVING W OR 260 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT 
GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 120 NM NE...SE AND NW QUADRANTS AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT 
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 10.8N 120.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SW 
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
FROM 07.5N TO 14.5N BETWEEN 116W AND 123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 11.7N 124.6W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 120 NM 
SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 40 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...240 NM SE QUADRANT AND 150 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 06N TO 17N 
BETWEEN 119W AND 127W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 13.0N 129.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 14.4N 133.2W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 15.8N 137.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES...REMNANTS OF EUGENE...NEAR 26N126W 1012 MB MOVING 
NW 15 KT. WITHIN 120 NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
9 FT.  
.18 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...REMNANTS OF EUGENE...NEAR 
26.5N127.5W 1015 MB. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.AREA FROM 06N TO 09N BETWEEN 95W AND 103W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SW TO S SWELL. 
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0130 UTC FRI JUL 14...

.HURRICANE FERNANDA...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG 
WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 45 NM SW SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE TO 
STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N75W TO 10N90W TO 11N111W...WHERE 
IT BREAKS FROM FERNANDA...THEN RESUMES FROM 11N121W TO 12.5N125W 
TO 10.5N140W. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 03N 
TO 10N E OF 84W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 07.5N TO 
13.5N BETWEEN 90W AND 110W. 

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.