000
FZPN03 KNHC 132120
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC THU JUL 13 2017

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU JUL 13.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI JUL 14.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT JUL 15.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING... 

HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 11.2N 116.0W 990 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 13 
MOVING W OR 260 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT 
GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 40 NM NE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM S 
SEMICIRCLE...75 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS 
TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NE...SE AND NW QUADRANTS AND 
90 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 10.9N 119.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 70 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 150 NM 
NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF 
AREA FROM 07.5N TO 14.5N BETWEEN 116W AND 122W WINDS 20 KT OR 
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 11.3N 123.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM 
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE AND 120 NM 
SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 34 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N 
SEMICIRCLE...240 NM SE QUADRANT AND 150 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 05N TO 16N 
BETWEEN 118W AND 126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN 
MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 12.5N 128.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT GUSTS 150 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 14.0N 132.5W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 15.5N 136.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES...REMNANTS OF EUGENE...NEAR 25.5N125W 1011 MB MOVING 
NW 15 KT. WITHIN 120 N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 
10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 24N TO 27.5N BETWEEN 123W AND 127W WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...REMNANTS OF EUGENE...NEAR 
26.5N127.5W 1015 MB. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

. AREA FROM 04N TO 09N BETWEEN 91W AND 104W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SW TO S SWELL. AREA FROM 02N TO 08N 
BETWEEN 104W AND 115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED 
SW TO S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2030 UTC THU JUL 13...

.HURRICANE FERNANDA...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM 
NE AND 45 NM SW SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 
180 NM N AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLES. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 09N76W TO 10N92W TO 10.5N100W TO 
10N109W...WHERE IT BREAKS FROM FERNANDA...THEN RESUMES FROM 
12N120W TO 13N124W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 
06.5N TO 14.5N E OF 106W. 

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.