000
FZPN03 KNHC 131451
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC THU JUL 13 2017

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU JUL 13.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI JUL 14.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT JUL 15.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA NEAR 11.7N 115.0W 1001 MB AT 1500 UTC
JUL 13 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55
KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF
CENTER EXCEPT 20 NM NE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45
NM S SEMICIRCLE...75 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS AND 120
NM SE AND NW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 11.5N 116.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 40 NM NE QUADRANT. LITTLE CHANGE 
IN RADIUS OF SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 09N TO 14N BETWEEN 
113W AND 119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 11.2N 118.3W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH 
SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 OF CENTER EXCEPT 150 NM NW 
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA 
FROM 08N TO 15N BETWEEN 115W AND 121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 11.2N 122.4W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT GUSTS 135 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS 
WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 70 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR 
GREATER WITHIN 105 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH 
SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE...240 NM SE 
QUADRANT AND 150 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 
FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 05N TO 16N BETWEEN 117W AND 125W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 12.0N 126.9W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT GUSTS 145 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. 
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 13.4N 131.0W. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT GUSTS 140 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE FERNANDA NEAR 15.0N 135.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT GUSTS 130 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES...REMNANTS OF EUGENE...NEAR 25N124.5W 1010 MB. WITHIN
120 N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE
FROM 24N TO 28N BETWEEN 122W AND 127W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...REMNANTS OF EUGENE...NEAR 27N127W
1012 MB. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 04N93W TO 05N104W TO 06N104W TO 09N99W
TO 09N96W TO 06N91W TO 04N93W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN
MIXED SW AND NW SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1430 UTC THU JUL 13...

.TROPICAL STORM FERNANDA...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG
WITHIN 120 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 240 NM SW SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 04N TO 07N BETWEEN 111W 
AND 115W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N75W TO 10N90W TO 10N100W THEN
RESUMES FROM 11N120W TO 12N125W TO 10N138W. ITCZ AXIS EXTENDS 
FROM 10N138W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM
03N TO 09N E OF 80W...FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 82W AND 86W...FROM
04N TO 10N BETWEEN 87W AND 92W...FROM 11N TO 16N BETWEEN 92W AND
98W...AND FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 97W AND 104W.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.