000
FZPN03 KNHC 241501
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC MON OCT 24 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON OCT 24.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE OCT 25.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED OCT 26.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE SEYMOUR NEAR 15.2N 109.8W 995 MB AT 1500 UTC OCT 24
MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...90 NM NE QUADRANT
AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150
NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
TO 10 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SEYMOUR NEAR 16.2N 114.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...
EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 31 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
150 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 75 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 21N BETWEEN 109W
AND 118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SEYMOUR NEAR 17.4N 119.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS 115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N AND 75 NM S
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NW AND
150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 12N TO 23N BETWEEN 115W AND 125W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SEYMOUR NEAR 20.5N 121.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SEYMOUR NEAR 23.9N 121.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW SEYMOUR NEAR 26.2N
120.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16.5N95W TO 14N95.5W...INCLUDING THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14.5N95W TO
13N96.5W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM 16.5N95W TO 15N95W
TO 13.5N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16.5N95W TO
14.5N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 30 TO 35
KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W
TO 14N95W N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16.5N95W TO
14N95.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 30 TO 35
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W
TO 12.5N95W N WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16.5N95W TO
13.5N95.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS
30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE
FROM 16N95W TO 12.5N95.5W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO
10 FT. 

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES 14N127W 1010 MB. WITHIN 120 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED NW AND SW SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 14N127W 1010 MB. WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE WITH LOW PRES...N OF 15N BETWEEN 117W AND
133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 15N TO 21N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED NW SWELL AND NE WIND WAVES.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.18 HOUR FORECAST STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N134W TO 27.5N140W. N
OF 29N BETWEEN 128W AND 136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN
NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N134W TO 27N140W. N OF
27N E OF FRONT TO A LINE FROM 30N131W TO 26N140W SW WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. W OF FRONT SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 8 FT.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 30N132W TO 25N140W. N OF
27NEOF FRONT TO LINE 30N128W TO 27N134W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. NW OF FRONT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10
FT IN NW SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC MON OCT 24...

.HURRICANE SEYMOUR...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN
107W AND 111W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N83W TO 07N90W TO 10N102W. IT RESUMES FROM
LOW PRES NEAR 16.5N118W TO LOW PRES NEAR 14N127W TO 11N135W TO
BEYOND 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 150 NM
S AND 60 NM N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 83W AND 87W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH BETWEEN 98W AND 101W.

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.