000
FZPN03 KNHC 240246
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC MON OCT 24 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON OCT 24.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE OCT 25.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED OCT 26.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM SEYMOUR NEAR 14.4N 107.1W 1002 MB AT 0300 UTC
OCT 24 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60
NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF
CENTER...EXCEPT 30 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 104W AND 108W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SEYMOUR NEAR 15.6N 111.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 35 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT
60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF
CENTER...EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 13N TO 18N BETWEEN 108W AND
113W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SEYMOUR NEAR 16.7N 116.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...
EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
150 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 120 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 21N BETWEEN 112W
AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SEYMOUR NEAR 18.7N 120.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE SEYMOUR NEAR 22.0N 120.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM SEYMOUR NEAR 24.0N 120.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...

.WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95.5W...INCLUDING THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95.5W TO
14N96.5W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.18 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO
13.5N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO
14.5N95.5W...INCLUDING THEGULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30
TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM
16N95W TO 15N95W TO 13N96W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO
10 FT. 
.42 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO
13N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 15N95W TO
14N95.5W...INCLUDING THEGULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30
TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM
16N95W TO 15N95W TO 13N96W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8
TO 10 FT. 

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES 14N127W 1009 MB. WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 150 SE QUADRANTS
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 14.5N127W 1010 MB. WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.N OF 22N BETWEEN 117W AND 131W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO
11 FT IN NW SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST COLD FRONT FROM 30N134W TO 28N140W. N OF 29N
BETWEEN 131W AND 136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL.
.42 HOUR FORECAST STATIONARY FRONT FROM 30N134W TO 27N140W.
SECONG COLD FRONT NEAR 30N140W. N OF 27N WITHIN 90 NM E OF
SECOND FRONT TO A LINE FROM 30N130W TO 27N136W SW WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST MERGING COLD FRONT FROM 30N135W TO 27N140W. NW
OF FRONT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN NW SWELL. N OF
27N E OF FRONT TO A LINE FROM 30N130W TO 27N135W SW WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 28N TO A LINE FROM
30N126W TO 28N132W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN NW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0230 UTC MON OCT 24...

.TROPICAL STORM SEYMOUR...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN
75 NM E SEMICIRCLE. NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE
FROM 12N TO 17N BETWEEN 105W AND 108W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE GULF OF PANAMA NEAR 08N79W
TO 09N96W...THEN RESUMES W OF T.S. SEYMOUR AT 15N110W TO 1009 MB
LOW PRES NEAR 16N115W TO 1009 MB LOW PRES NEAR 14N127W TO
11N135W TO BEYOND 12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 12N TO 14N
BETWEEN 116W AND 119W.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.