000
FZPN03 KNHC 230928
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SUN OCT 23 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN OCT 23.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON OCT 24.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE OCT 25.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-E NEAR 13.1N 103.6W 1007 MB AT 0900
UTC OCT 23 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11.5N TO 15N BETWEEN 100W
AND 105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWENTY-E NEAR 14.7N 107.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH
SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TWENTY-E NEAR 16.1N 112.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N AND 30 NM S
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM N AND 75
NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER
OF AREA FROM 14N TO 20N BETWEEN 109W AND 115W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE TWENTY-E NEAR 17.0N 117.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWENTY-E NEAR 18.8N 120.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM TWENTY-E NEAR 20.5N 122.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

...GALE WARNING...
.WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16.5N95W TO 14.5N95.5W...INCLUDING
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO
12 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14.5N95W TO
13.5N96.5W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. REMAINDER
OF AREA FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 95.5W AND 99W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM 16.5N95W TO
14.5N95.5W TO 13N975W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO
NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 12N TO 14N
BETWEEN 94.5W AND 100W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN
MIXED NE AND SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16.5N95W TO
14.5N95.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS
30 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE
FROM 16N95W TO 14N95.5W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10
FT. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM 16.5N95W TO
13N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16.5N95W TO
14N95.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 30
TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 45 NM OF LINE FROM
16N95W TO 13N95W N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT. 

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 15N115.5W 1008 MB. FROM 11.5N TO 16.5N BETWEEN
109W AND 116.5W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED
SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 16.5N115.5W 1011 MB. WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.LOW PRES NEAR 13.5N128W 1010 MB. WITHIN 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLE S
TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 08.5N TO
13.5N BETWEEN 116.5W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9
FT IN MIXED NW AND SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 14N127W 1010 MB. WITHIN 240 NM E
SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 15N128W 1012 MB. WITHIN 180 NM
NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 

.NW OF LINE FROM 30N120W TO 18.5N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
8 TO 11 FT IN NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST EXCEPT AS NOTED ABOVE WITH LOW PRES
CENTERS...FROM 15.5N TO 28N BETWEEN 117W AND 131W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 17N TO 20N BETWEEN 116W AND 132W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED NW AND NE SWELL. N OF 29N
BETWEEN 128W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN NW
SWELL.

.06 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 11.5N E OF 88W...INCLUDING THE
GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. 
.30 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 11N E OF 88W...INCLUDING THE GULF
OF PAPAGAYO...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC SUN OCT 23...

.WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 02.5N TO
09.5N E OF 85W.

.T.D. TWENTY-E NEAR 13.1N 103.6W...BANDS AND CLUSTER OF
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 210 NM NW
SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLE.

.LOW PRES 13.5N128W...CLUSTER OF SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM SW QUADRANT. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N74W TO 10N86W TO 09N92W TO
T.D. TWENTY-E NEAR 13.1N103.6W TO LOW PRESSURE NEAR 15N115.5W TO
LOW PRES NEAR 13.5N128W TO BEYOND 11.5N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 120 NM N AND 180 NM S OF
TROUGH BETWEEN 93W AND 130W.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.