000
FZPN03 KNHC 271550
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC TUE SEP 27 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC TUE SEP 27.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED SEP 28.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU SEP 29.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ROSLYN NEAR 18.2N 117.5W 1003 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP
27 MOVING NE OR 045 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE
QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...120
NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 240
NM N AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ROSLYN NEAR 20.6N 116.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN
60 NM NE QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO
30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA
FROM 19N TO 23N BETWEEN 114W AND 119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
TO 10FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ROSLYN NEAR 22.7N
118.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT. WINDS 20 TO
25 KT WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER. SEAS TO 9 FT WITHIN 60 NM OF
CENTER.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ROSLYN NEAR 23.5N
120.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 15 KT GUSTS 20 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...

.TROPICAL STORM ULIKA NEAR 12.4N 140.0W 999 MB AT 1500Z UTC SEP
27 MOVING NE OR 035 DEGREES AT 4 KT. MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E
AND 30 NM W SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER. SEAS TO 12 FT. OVER FORECAST
WATERS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
8 TO 11 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ULIKA NEAR 13.8N 139.3W.
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS TO 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 70 NM E AND 60 NM W
SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. OVER FORECAST WATERS
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11
FT. REMAINDER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ULIKA NEAR 15.6N 139.1W.
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS TO 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 70 NM NE...60 NM SE...40
NM SW AND 50 NM NW QUADRANTS OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
ELSEWHERE FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 180 NM N
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED
SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ULIKA NEAR 16.8N 141.1W.
MAX WINDS 35 KT GUSTS TO 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST W OF AREA.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.06 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02S BETWEEN 104W AND 113W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02S BETWEEN 100W AND 113W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1430 UTC TUE SEP 27...

.TROPICAL STORM ROSLYN...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG NE
QUADRANT WITHIN 180 NM. 

.TROPICAL STORM ULIKA...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 180 NM OF THE
CENTER.

.SURFACE TROUGH FROM 11N96W TO 17N100W. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 08N TO 17N BETWEEN 97W AND 103W.
 
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N78W TO 10N87W TO 13N95W...CONTINUES FROM
13N102W TO 09N110W TO 10N114W...THEN RESUMES FROM 12N123W TO
14N132W TO 13N136W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN
150 NM OF LINE FROM 06N77W TO 11N94W. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF LINE FROM 12N127W TO 13N136W. 

$$ 
.FORECASTER MCELROY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.