000
FZPN03 KNHC 270927
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC TUE SEP 27 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE SEP 27.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED SEP 28.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU SEP 29.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ROSLYN NEAR 17.8N 117.7W 1003 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP
27 MOVING NE OR 050 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 120 NM NE...90
NM SE...40 NM SW AND 80 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 180 NM NE...120 NM SE AND 90 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS
16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SW
QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA
WITHIN 180 NM N AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ROSLYN NEAR 20.0N 116.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT NEAR CENTER. SEAS TO
12 FT WITHIN 60 NM NE QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER 
EXCEPT 45 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT 
PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ROSLYN NEAR 22.3N
117.3W. WINDS 20 TO 25 KT WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER. SEAS TO 8 FT
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ROSLYN NEAR 23.5N
119.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 15 KT GUSTS 20 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ULIKA NEAR 12.1N 140.4W 1004 MB AT 0900Z UTC SEP
27 MOVING N OR 350 DEGREES AT 3 KT. MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM E
AND WITHIN 30 NM W SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER. SEAS TO 12 FT. OVER
FORECAST WATERS ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 120 NM OF
CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ULIKA NEAR 13.5N 139.5W.
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS TO 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM E AND WITHIN 50 NM 
W SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. FORECAST WATERS 
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 11
FT. REMAINDER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ULIKA NEAR 15.2N 139.2W.
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS TO 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND
40 NM SE AND 30 NM SW QUADRANTS OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
ELSEWHERE FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS 9 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 150 NM OF
CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED
SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ULIKA NEAR 16.5N 140.5W.
MAX WINDS 35 KT GUSTS TO 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST W OF AREA.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.18 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02S BETWEEN 105W AND 115W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02S BETWEEN 105W AND 112W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC TUE SEP 27...

.TROPICAL STORM ROSLYN...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT. 

.TROPICAL STORM ULIKA...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM E AND
60 NM W SEMICIRCLES.

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE FROM
11N87W TO 13N90W...WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE FROM 14N94W TO 12N98W
AND WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 15N98W TO 17N103W.
 
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N78W TO 10N86W TO 12N97W TO 09N112W...
RESUMES AT 13N120W TO 12N138W. ISOLATED MODERATE TO STRONG
WITHIN 150 NM OF LINE FROM 05N77W TO 07N85W TO 12N101W TO 
08N114W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120
NM OF LINE FROM 12N126W TO 13N136W. 

$$ 
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.