000
FZPN03 KNHC 261523
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC MON SEP 26 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON SEP 26.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE SEP 27.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED SEP 28.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ROSLYN NEAR 17.1N 119.5W 1005 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP
26 MOVING N OR 010 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM E
SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE
WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM E AND 120 NM W
SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF WATERS FROM 12N TO 21N BETWEEN 115W AND 122W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ROSLYN NEAR 18.5N 118.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM E AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF WATERS FROM 14N
TO 21N BETWEEN 114W AND 121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 IN
MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ROSLYN NEAR 21.0N
117.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. SEAS TO 11
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM E AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER
WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. REMAINDER OF WATERS FROM 19N
TO 23N BETWEEN 114W AND 118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 IN
MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ROSLYN NEAR 23.2N
118.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ROSLYN NEAR 24.5N
119.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E NEAR 11.6N 139.4W 1005 MB AT
1500 UTC SEP 26 MOVING NW OR 320 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM
E SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NINETEEN-E NEAR 12.8N 139.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...50 NM NE QUADRANT AND
20 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60NM OF CENTER
EXPECT 30 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
120 NM SE AND 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NINETEEN-E NEAR 14.4N 137.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND
40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER
EXPECT 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
150 NM SE AND 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8
TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM NINETEEN-E NEAR 16.1N 137.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW NINETEEN-E NEAR
17.3N 139.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW NINETEEN-E NEAR
17.4N 142.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC MON SEP 26...

.TROPICAL STORM ROSLYN...CLUSTER OF MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN ABOUT 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG IS ELSEWHERE IN A BAND WITHIN 90 NM SE OF A LINE FROM
16N118W TO 14N119W TO 13N121W. 

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E...CLUSTER OF MODERATE TO
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN ABOUT 60 NM NE SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG IS ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 13N W OF 137W. 

.SURFACE TROUGH ALONG 95W N OF 09N...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG WITHIN 90 NM W OF TROUGH FROM 12N TO 16N. SCATTERED
MODERATE FROM 10N TO THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 99W AND 103W.

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF 13N88W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
THE MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS ACROSS THE FAR SW CARIBBEAN AND
CENTRAL COSTA RICA INTO THE EPAC NEAR 09N85W TO 12N95W TO
09N110W...THEN IT RESUMES JUST SW OF ROSLYN NEAR 12N123W...AND
CONTINUES TO 12N134W TO T.D. NINETEEN NEAR 11.5N 139.5W.
SCATTERED MODERATE IS NOTED FROM 05N-07N BETWEEN 96W-91W...AND
FROM 07N-09N BETWEEN 94-99W.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.