000
FZPN03 KNHC 191503
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC MON SEP 19 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON SEP 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE SEP 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED SEP 21.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE PAINE NEAR 22.0N 115.4W 981 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 19
MOVING NW OR 325 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT
GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE
QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE...150
NM NE QUADRANT AND 120 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM E AND 150 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PAINE NEAR 26.1N 116.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND
40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 90
NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF
CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA
FROM 20N TO 29N BETWEEN 114W AND 122W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW PAINE NEAR 29.9N
116.1W. OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 120 NM SW AND 60 NM NE
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.W OF LINE FROM 25N137W TO 21N135W TO 20N138W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02S W OF 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF A LINE 00N123W TO 05N120W TO 08N106W TO
04.3S91W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC MON SEP 19...

.HURRICANE PAINE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN
90 NM SW AND 60 NM NW SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE AND
ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 18N TO 24N BETWEEN 113W AND 117W.

.TROPICAL WAVE AXIS NEAR 103W FROM 05N TO 16N. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 08N TO 15N BETWEEN 100W AND 108W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W TO 08N95W TO 10N112W THEN RESUMES
FROM 13N112W TO 10N125W TO 11N133W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH E
OF 84W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM OF THE MONSOON TROUGH
BETWEEN 113W AND 117W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN
120 NM S AND 30 NM N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 125W AND
135W. 

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.