000
FZPN03 KNHC 190942
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC MON SEP 19 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON SEP 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE SEP 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED SEP 21.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE PAINE NEAR 20.6N 114.6W 989 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 19
MOVING NNW OR 328 DEG AT 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT
GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SW QUADRANT AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM
SW QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 21 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NE AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 17N TO 22N
BETWEEN 109W AND 117W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PAINE NEAR 24.4N 116.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND
40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 90
NM SW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM SE
AND 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 19N TO 26N BETWEEN 112W AND 120W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW PAINE NEAR 28.4N
116.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM S AND 60 NM N SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 15
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM S AND 90 NM N SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 24N TO 29N
BETWEEN 114W AND 119W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN
MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW PAINE NEAR 30.0N
115.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.W OF LINE FROM 27N138W TO 22N133W TO 15N138W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST W OF 137W BETWEEN 21N AND 25N WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED NE AND NW SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.N OF 27N W OF 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NW
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N BETWEEN 126W AND 131W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NW SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 08N TO 11N BETWEEN 124W AND 130W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT PRIMARILY IN NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 08N TO 14N BETWEEN 119W AND 135W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL.

.30 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02S W OF 112W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF A LINE ROM 03.4S96W TO 05N114W TO
00N125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0830 UTC MON SEP 19...

.TROPICAL STORM PAINE...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG
WITHIN 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
ELSEWHERE FROM 18N TO 22N BETWEEN 112W AND 117W.

.TROPICAL WAVE FROM 07N98W TO 16N103W...SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 09N TO 13N BETWEEN 99W AND 106W.  

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
DISCONTINUOUS MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N78W TO 07N86W TO 1010 MB
LOW PRES NEAR 07N98W TO 07N107W...THEN RESUMES FROM 13N117W TO
10N125W TO 12N137W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG FROM 04N TO 10N BETWEEN 79W AND 84W AND FROM 08N TO 14N
BETWEEN 111W AND 138W. 

$$
.FORECASTER MCELROY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.