000
FZPN03 KNHC 182216 CCA
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SUN SEP 18 2016

CORRECTED FOR AREA OF SWELL S OF EQUATOR

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN SEP 18.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON SEP 19.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE SEP 20.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM PAINE NEAR 18.5N 112.9W 998 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP
18 MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE...60 NM SE...0 NM SW AND 30 NM NW
QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 90
NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE PAINE NEAR 21.9N 116.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM NE...60 NM SE...40 NM SW AND 60 NM SW QUADRANTS.
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 22 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PAINE NEAR 25.8N 117.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE...50 NM SE...0 NM SW AND 40 NM NW
QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER WITH
SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW PAINE NEAR 28.9N
117.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.TROUGH FROM 22N136W TO 18N136W. FROM 20N TO 23N BETWEEN 134W
AND 138W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH W OF AREA. FROM 20N TO 23N W OF 138W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF 01S W OF 105W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
FT IN SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC SUN SEP 18...

.TROPICAL STORM PAINE...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG
WITHIN 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OP CENTER.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 97W...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF
WAVE AXIS FROM 11N TO 14N. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
DISCONTINUOUS MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 07N94W TO 10N100W
RESUMES FROM 12N116W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG WITHIN 60 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 119W AND 128W.  

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.