000
FZPN03 KNHC 181500
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SUN SEP 18 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN SEP 18.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON SEP 19.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE SEP 20.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM PAINE NEAR 17.5N 111.4W 1003 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP
18 MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NE
QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE...0
NM SW QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 16N TO 21N BETWEEN
106W AND 114W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED
SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PAINE NEAR 20.7N 114.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND
30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N AND 60
NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM NE
AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 18N TO 24N BETWEEN 111W AND 118W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM PAINE NEAR 24.9N 117.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM E SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 30 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N AND 30 NM S
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 23N
TO 27N BETWEEN 115W AND 121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10
FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW PAINE NEAR 28.0N
117.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.TROUGH FROM 22N134W TO 15N135W. FROM 20N TO 23N BETWEEN 132W
AND 138W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROUGH MOVE WEST OF AREA. FROM 19N TO 23N W OF
136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.18 HOUR FORECAST N OF 15N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W...INCLUDING
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST N OF 15N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W...INCLUDING
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN
8FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC SUN SEP 18...

.TROPICAL STORM PAINE...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG
WITHIN 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE OF PAINE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 15N TO 21N BETWEEN 110W AND 115W.

.TROPICAL WAVE AXIS NEAR 96W NORTH OF 07N...SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN 91W AND 95W. SCATTERED
MODERATE WITHIN 30 NM W OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 08N TO 10N. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 07.5N77W TO 09N85W TO 08N92W TO 12.5N100W,
THEN CONTINUES FROM 13N112W TO 10N123W TO 12N130W TO BEYOND
11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 03N TO 08N E OF 80W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 99W
AND 101W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM S AND
30 NM N OF THE MONSOON TROUGH. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM N
OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 129W AND 131W. 

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.