000
FZPN03 KNHC 152109
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC THU SEP 15 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU SEP 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI SEP 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT SEP 17.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 19.8N 122.9W 990 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 15
MOVING W OR 260 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS
80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N AND 50 NM S
SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER WITH
SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 19.4N 127.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150
NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF
AREA FROM 17N TO 23N BETWEEN 124W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 19.3N 132.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 18N TO 25N BETWEEN 129W AND 136W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 19.3N 137.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ORLENE NEAR 19.5N 141.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ORLENE NEAR 20.5N
145.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND
INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.FROM 12N TO 20N W OF 134W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT
IN MIXED NE AND SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 12N TO 18N W OF 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 06N TO 08N BETWEEN 92W AND 97W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 12N106W 1007 MB. WITHIN 120 NM
SE QUADRANT OF LOW SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 15N108W 1004 MB. WITHIN 180 NM
E SEMICIRCLE OF LOW SE TO S WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC THU SEP 15...

.HURRICANE ORLENE...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60
NM OF CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N85W TO 1008 MB LOW PRES NEAR 12N105W TO
10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM N AND
180 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 88W AND 105W.

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.