000
FZPN03 KNHC 150855
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC THU SEP 15 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC THU SEP 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI SEP 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT SEP 17.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 20.1N 121.2W 991 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP
15 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 21 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLE
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 16N
TO 24N BETWEEN 118W AND 126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 19.6N 124.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...75 NM SE QUADRANT AND
120 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 75 NM
SE SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 
8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 16N TO 24N BETWEEN 122W AND
131W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 19.5N 129.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 75 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND
90 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM
NE QUADRANT...75 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 15N TO 24N
BETWEEN 126W AND 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN
MIXED SWELL. FROM 09N TO 11N BETWEEN 126W AND 136W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 19.5N 134.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ORLENE NEAR 20.0N 139.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ORLENE NEAR 21.0N
143.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 18N137W TO 20N140W TO 16N140W TO 17N139W
TO 17N136W TO 18N137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED NE
AND SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 19N138W TO 21N140W TO
14N140W TO 12N137W TO 15N137W TO 19N138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 08N102W TO 09N102W TO
09N105W TO 08N109W TO 07N109W TO 06N105W TO 08N102W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW TO W SWELL. WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY
07N93W TO 07N95W TO 05N96W TO 04N95W TO 04N94W TO 05N92W TO
07N93W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 10N101W TO 10N104W TO
09N109W TO 07N108W TO 08N102W TO 08N94W TO 10N101W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW TO W SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 10N102W TO 11N102W TO
10N105W TO 09N109W TO 08N109W TO 09N104W TO 10N102W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW TO W SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0845 UTC THU SEP 15...

.TROPICAL STORM ORLENE...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 60 NM NW QUADRANT.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 97W N OF 08N...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 07N
TO 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 97W...AND FROM 14N TO 16.5N BETWEEN 97W
AND 100W.

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 150 NM W AND SW OF
A LINE FROM 09N77W TO 10N84W TO 16N90W TO 20N93W...AND FROM 19N
TO 22N E OF 107W...INCLUDING CABO CORRIENTES.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N75W TO LOW PRES NEAR
12.5N103.5W TO 11N120W TO 10N130W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN 111W AND 113W.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.