000
FZPN03 KNHC 150256
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC THU SEP 15 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC THU SEP 15.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI SEP 16.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT SEP 17.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 20.4N 120.4W 991 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP
15 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...90 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 100 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 240 NM N
AND 210 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 20.0N 123.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N AND 50 NM S SEMICIRCLES. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
90 NM N AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 180 NM N
AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 19.6N 128.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLES. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
90 NM N AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 150 NM N
AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 19.5N 133.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ORLENE NEAR 20.0N 138.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ORLENE NEAR 21.0N
142.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.FROM 17N TO 19N W OF 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 14N TO 20N W OF 136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 100W AND 109W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 08N TO 11N BETWEEN 100W AND 109W SW WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0200 UTC THU SEP 15...

.TROPICAL STORM ORLENE...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN
75 NM OF CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
DISCONTINUOUS MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N86W TO 1008 MB LOW PRESSURE
NEAR 13N102W TO 14N112W...THEN RESUMES FROM 13N122W TO 12N130W
TO 16N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 75 NM W OF
CENTRAL AMERICA BETWEEN 85W AND 93W.

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.