000
FZPN03 KNHC 142135
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC WED SEP 14 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC WED SEP 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU SEP 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI SEP 16.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 20.2N 119.7W 988 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 14
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS
80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 270
NM N AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 19.8N 122.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N AND 70 NM S SEMICIRCLES. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
120 NM N AND 105 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 210
NM N AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 19.5N 127.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
105 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 180
NM N AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 19.5N 132.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 19.5N 137.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ORLENE NEAR 21.0N 141.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.FROM 17N TO 19N W OF 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 14N TO 20N W OF 136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 100W AND 109W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 08N TO 11N BETWEEN 100W AND 109W SW WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC WED SEP 14...

.HURRICANE ORLENE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF
CENTER.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 98W/99W N OF 13N MOVING W 10 KT. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 12N TO 16N BETWEEN 97W AND 101W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
DISCONTINUOUS MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 1008 MB LOW PRESSURE
NEAR 13N102W TO 11N110W...THEN RESUMES FROM 14N124W TO 13N130W
TO 15N140W. NO SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION.

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.