000
FZPN03 KNHC 141547
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC WED SEP 14 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC WED SEP 14.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC THU SEP 15.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI SEP 16.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 20.1N 119.1W 984 MB AT 1500 UTC SEP 14
MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS
85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER.
ELSEWHERE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120
NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 270 NM NE
AND 240 NM WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 19.8N 121.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. ELSEWHERE WINDS 20 TO
33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N AND 90 NM S
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 16N TO 24N
BETWEEN 120W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 19.6N 126.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. ELSEWHERE
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF
CENTER WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 15N TO 23N
BETWEEN 123W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN
MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 19.5N 131.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 20.0N 136.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. 
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ORLENE NEAR 21.5N 140.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.06 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 18N136W TO 19N137W TO
19N138W TO 18N138W TO 17N137W TO 17N136W TO 18N136W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN E TO SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 18N136W TO 20N140W TO
16N140W TO 14N137W TO 14N135W TO 18N136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
8 TO 9 FT IN NE SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY
17N139W TO 19N140W TO 13N140W TO 13N139W TO 15N139W TO 17N139W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN NE SWELL.

.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 09N102W TO 10N104W TO
09N108W TO 07N110W TO 06N106W TO 08N101W TO 09N102W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 11N102W TO 09N111W TO
07N111W TO 07N106W TO 08N103W TO 08N95W TO 11N102W SW WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC WED SEP 14...

.HURRICANE ORLENE...NUMEROUS MODERATE AND ISOLATED STRONG
WITHIN 90 NM NW OF THE CENTER.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 97W/98W N OF 13N MOVING W AT 5 TO 10 KT.
SCATTERED MODERATE IN GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC NORTH OF 12N BETWEEN
95W AND 98W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS FROM 08N84W TO 19N99W TO 1009 MB LOW PRESSURE
NEAR 13N101W THEN TERMINATING NEAR 09N114W. MONSOON TROUGH
RESUMES AT 14N120W AND CONTINUES W TO 13N130W TO 16N140W.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.