000 FZPN03 KNHC 140915 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1030 UTC WED SEP 14 2016 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED SEP 14. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU SEP 15. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI SEP 16. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 20.2N 118.8W 984 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 14 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 1 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 15N TO 27N BETWEEN 111W AND 123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 20.0N 120.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 21 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLE AND 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 15N TO 24N BETWEEN 118W AND 126W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 19.8N 124.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SW QUADRANT AND 150 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 180 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 14N TO 24N BETWEEN 122W AND 133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 19.8N 129.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 20.1N 134.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION ORLENE NEAR 21.5N 138.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 30N BETWEEN 113W AND 114.5W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .03 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 11N137W TO 12N137W TO 12N139W TO 12N140W TO 10N140W TO 10N138W TO 11N137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. .18 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 19N138W TO 20N138W TO 19N140W TO 18N140W TO 17N136W TO 18N136W TO 19N138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED E AND NW SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 18N136W TO 20N139W TO 20N140W TO 17N140W TO 16N135W TO 18N136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED E TO SE SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 19N138W TO 20N140W TO 14N140W TO 13N137W TO 14N137W TO 19N138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED S AND NW SWELL. .30 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 07N95W TO 09N102W TO 08N109W TO 06N105W TO 06N99W TO 05N92W TO 07N95W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW TO W SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 10N101W TO 09N109W TO 08N111W TO 07N106W TO 08N103W TO 08N94W TO 10N101W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW TO W SWELL. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC WED SEP 14... .HURRICANE ORLENE...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER. .TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 97W N OF 07N...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 12N TO 14.5N BETWEEN 95W AND 97W. .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 14N85W TO LOW PRES NEAR 12.5N100W TO 09N116W THEN RESUMES FROM 15N122W TO 16N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE N OF 10N E OF 90W AND ALSO WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF AXIS BETWEEN 130W AND 138W. $$ .FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.