000
FZPN03 KNHC 132135
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC TUE SEP 13 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC TUE SEP 13.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED SEP 14.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC THU SEP 15.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 19.7N 118.7W 980 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 13
MOVING NNE OR 015 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT
GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 70 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM OF
CENTER WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 15N
TO 24N BETWEEN 114W AND 123W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 20.1N 119.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150
NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF
AREA WITHIN 240 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11
FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 19.7N 122.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS
TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 180 NM
OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 19.5N 127.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 19.5N 132.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 20.0N 136.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 16N TO 19N W OF 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 13N TO 21N W OF 133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN NE SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 06N TO 09N BETWEEN 92W AND 103W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC TUE SEP 13...

.HURRICANE ORLENE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF
CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N85W TO 14N94W TO LOW PRES NEAR 12N101W TO
LOW PRES NEAR 11N107W TO 12N112W...THEN RESUMES FROM 14N122W TO
14N133W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 124W
AND 131W.

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.