000
FZPN03 KNHC 130853
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC TUE SEP 13 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE SEP 13.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED SEP 14.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU SEP 15.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 19.2N 118.9W 971 MB AT 0900 UTC SEP 13
MOVING N OR 360 DEG AT 4 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS
110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT
70 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER AND WINDS 20 TO 33 KT
WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO
34 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 23N BETWEEN 114W AND 126W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 20.1N 119.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 25N 
BETWEEN 113W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 20.2N 121.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER AND WINDS 20 TO 33 KT WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT
AND SW QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT AND 180 NM NW QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 25 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 14N TO 25N BETWEEN 117W AND
120W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 19.9N 125.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 19.7N 130.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 20.0N 134.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.GULF OF CALIFORNIA WITHIN 60 NM SE OF A LINE FROM 31.5N113.5W
TO 30N115W S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.FROM 08N TO 09N BETWEEN 134W AND 137W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N W OF 134W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED NE AND SE SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST FROM 17N TO 19N BETWEEN 135W AND 139W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 17N TO 20N W OF 135W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND NW SWELL.

.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 04N TO 06N BETWEEN 92W AND 98W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN S TO SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0830 UTC TUE SEP 13...

.HURRICANE ORLENE...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN
60-75 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 180 NM N QUADRANT.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 91W N OF 10N...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM
09N TO 12N BETWEEN 91W AND 94W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 12N85W TO 16N95W TO LOW PRES
NEAR 14N107W TO 12N111W. TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 15N124W TO
12N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM SW OF AXIS BETWEEN
86W AND 95W...FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 110W AND 112W...AND 
FROM 07N TO 12N W OF 134W.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.