000
FZPN03 KNHC 122109
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC MON SEP 12 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON SEP 12.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE SEP 13.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED SEP 14.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 17.9N 119.2W 967 MB AT 2100 UTC SEP 12
MOVING N OR 350 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 95 KT GUSTS
115 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NE...100 NM
SE...60 NM SW 80 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
120 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...150 NM NE AND 90 NM SW QUADRANTS
WITH SEAS TO 31 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 270 NM SE
AND 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO
11 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 19.1N 119.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM NE...100 NM SE...70 NM AND 80 NM NW QUADRANTS.
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM SE AND 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLES 
WITH SEAS TO 33 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 330 NM OF
CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 19.5N 120.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM N AND 70 NM S SEMICIRCLES. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 35 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210
NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF
AREA WITHIN 390 NM E AND 300 NM W SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN PRIMARILY MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 19.1N 123.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 18.8N 128.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 18.7N 132.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC MON SEP 12...

.HURRICANE ORLENE...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM
OF CENTER.

.TROPICAL WAVE N OF 10N ALONG 88W...SCATTERED MODERATE
WITHIN 210 NM W OF WAVE AXIS.

.TROPICAL WAVE FROM 08N101W TO 15N101W. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE FROM 08N98W TO 13N102W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 12N87W TO 13N97W TO LOW PRES 12N107W 1013
MB...RESUMES AS A TROUGH FROM 12N124W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 180 NM OF LINE FROM 06N80W TO
10N86W...WITHIN 75 NM OF LINE FROM 11N90W TO 12N96W...WITHIN 180
NM W SEMICIRCLE OF THE LOW AT 12N107W...WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE
FROM 08N127W TO 10N132W TO 07N140W AND WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM
11N125W TO 15N132W. 

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.