000
FZPN03 KNHC 120314
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC MON SEP 12 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC MON SEP 12.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE SEP 13.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED SEP 14.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 16.6N 118.3W 1001 MB AT 0300 UTC SEP
12 MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 40 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM
NE...75 NM SE...45 NM SW AND 60 NM NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 21
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9
TO 13 FT. REMAINDER WATERS WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER AND WITHIN
120 NM OF LINE FROM 15N116W TO 11N116W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
TO 9 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 17.3N 119.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
90 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. REMAINDER
WATERS WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 18.0N 119.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 70 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 26 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 19.0N 120.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 80 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 19.2N 121.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ORLENE NEAR 18.9N 125.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ORLENE NEAR 18.9N 130.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.06 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14.5N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0230 UTC MON SEP 12...

.TROPICAL STORM ORLENE...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER
SURROUNDED BY SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG OUT TO 180 NM
FROM CENTER.

.TROPICAL WAVE N OF 08N ALONG 84W...ISOLATED MODERATE AND 
STRONG WITHIN 60 NM W OF WAVE AXIS.

.TROPICAL WAVE N OF 06N ALONG 98W...ISOLATED MODERATE AND 
STRONG WITHIN 270 NM OF THE WAVE AXIS.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N86W TO 13N91W TO 11N96W TO 13N107W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ACROSS THE GULF OF
PANAMA...WITHIN 60 NM OF 14N91.5W AND ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM OF
LINE FROM 08N86W TO 13N108W. ISOLATED MODERATE AND STRONG WITHIN
300 NM OF LINE FROM 09N120W TO 15N132W.

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.