000
FZPN03 KNHC 042105
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SUN SEP 04 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN SEP 04.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON SEP 05.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE SEP 06.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E NEAR 16.0N 105.4W 1005 MB AT 2100
UTC SEP 04 MOVING NNW OR 345 DEG AT 2 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.  ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN
240 NM SE SEMICIRCLE S TO SW WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
REMAINDER AREA FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 103W AND 110W SW WINDS 
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN-E NEAR 18.6N 107.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...130 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 120 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 10N TO 16N BETWEEN 
104W AND 114W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN-E NEAR 22.8N 110.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 150 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 210 NM S AND 90 NM N
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM N AND
240 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER AREA FROM 13N TO 20N BETWEEN 104W AND 110W SW WINDS 
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM FIFTEEN-E NEAR 28.0N 112.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW FIFTEEN-E NEAR 32.3N
111.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 128W AND 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 14N W OF 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST BROAD LOW PRES CENTERED NEAR 13N126W 1010 MB.
FROM 10N TO 13N BETWEEN 122W AND 130W SW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
TO 9 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2045 UTC SUN SEP 04...

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG
WITHIN 240 NM SW SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM NE QUADRANT. SCATTERED
MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM 13N TO 18N BETWEEN 100W AND 109W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N85W TO 17N100W....THEN CONTINUES FROM
15N100W TO 12N120W TO WEAK LOW PRES 1010 MB NEAR 13N130W THROUGH
10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120-180 NM
EITHER SIDE OF AXIS W OF 129W.   SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 180
NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 110W AND 116W. 

$$
.FORECASTER COBB. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.