000
FZPN03 KNHC 220943
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1030 UTC MON AUG 22 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON AUG 22.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE AUG 23.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED AUG 24.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...

.TROPICAL STORM KAY NEAR 22.2N 116.6W 1000 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 22
MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM SE
OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM E
SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAY NEAR 22.8N 118.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 30 NM E SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 60 NM W SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 90 NM E SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20
TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 21N TO 24N
BETWEEN 117W AND 121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN
MIXED SE AND NW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KAY NEAR 23.5N
121.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT WITHIN 60 NM
NW AND 30 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM
NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.S OF 02S BETWEEN W OF 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN
MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST S OF 01S BETWEEN 102W AND 118W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. FROM 02N TO 05N
BETWEEN 114W AND 118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SW
AND NW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 01.5S BETWEEN 103W AND 114W WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. FROM 01N TO 08N
BETWEEN 111W AND 118W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SW
AND NW SWELL.
.42 HOUR FORECAST FROM 06N TO 10N BETWEEN 111W AND 118W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 08N TO 14N BETWEEN 113W AND 116W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 

.27 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 11N BETWEEN 86W AND 87W...
INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
LESS THAN 8 FT.
.33 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 11N E OF 88W...INCLUDING THE GULF
OF PAPAGAYO...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED NE
AND SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 15N TO 16N BETWEEN 94W AND 95W N WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0830 UTC MON AUG 22...

.TROPICAL STORM KAY...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 45 NM SW QUADRANT.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 96W/98W S OF 15N. NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 15N
TO 18N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W IN ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC.
 
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH ALONG 10N85W TO 08N94W TO 11N104W TO LOW PRESSURE
CENTER NEAR 10N109W 1009 MB TO 06N129W. ITCZ IS ALONG 10N132W TO
07N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 10N TO THE MONSOON
TROUGH BETWEEN 105W AND 106W...FROM 12.5N TO 13.5N BETWEEN 105W
AND 108W...FROM 07N TO 10N BETWEEN 108W AND 113W...AND FROM 07N
TO 11N BETWEEN 113W AND 117W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
WITHIN 240 NM N OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 93W AND 100W...AND
WITHIN 120 NM TO 180 NM S OF MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 90W AND
100W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF COAST FROM
03N TO 08N. 

$$
.FORECASTER MT. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.