000
FZPN03 KNHC 212141
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
2230 UTC SUN AUG 21 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SUN AUG 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON AUG 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE AUG 23.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KAY NEAR 21.5N 115.3W 1000 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 21
MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 30 NM OF CENTER
...EXCEPT 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF
CENTER WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NW AND 90 NM SE
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAY NEAR 22.3N 117.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 20 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 60 NM NW AND 30 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 14 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NW AND 60 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KAY NEAR 23.1N
120.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT WITHIN 60 NM
NW AND 30 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM
NW AND 60 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KAY...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.39 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 11N86W
TO 10N88W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 11N86W TO 10N89W...
INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT 
IN MIXED NE AND SW SWELL.

.15 HOUR FORECAST S OF 03S BETWEEN 108W AND 119W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. 
.18 HOUR FORECAST S OF 03N BETWEEN 115W AND 119W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 05N BETWEEN 113W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SWELL.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 03N TO 09N BETWEEN 108W AND 119W AND S OF
02S BETWEEN 108W AND 115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN
MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2115 UTC SUN AUG 21...

.TROPICAL STORM KAY...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 45 NM SW QUADRANT.
SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM SW QUADRANT AND
WITHIN 30 NM OF 23N114W.

.TROPICAL WAVE AXIS ALONG 94W FROM 06N TO 15N. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 91W AND 96W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 10N85W TO 09N94W TO 10N104W TO
08N112W TO 08N121W. SCATTERED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM S OF AXIS
BETWEEN 106W AND 109W...AND WITHIN 60 NM N OF AXIS BETWEEN 110W
AND 111W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 180 NM S OF
AXIS BETWEEN 86W AND 90W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM S OF
AXIS BETWEEN 93W AND 99W.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.