000
FZPN03 KNHC 211502
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1630 UTC SUN AUG 21 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN AUG 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON AUG 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE AUG 23.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KAY NEAR 21.2N 114.6W 1002 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 21
MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM W
SEMICIRCLE...40 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SE QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM N AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAY NEAR 22.0N 116.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 0 NM W SEMICIRCLE...30 NM NE QUADRANT AND 20 NM SE
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N AND 30 NM S
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM NW AND
60 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KAY NEAR 22.9N
119.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 120 NM
NW AND 60 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KAY NEAR 23.6N
122.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.18 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02S BETWEEN 110W AND 118W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 03N TO 08N BETWEEN 112W AND 118W AND S OF
02S BETWEEN 110W AND 114W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN
MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC SUN AUG 21...

.TROPICAL STORM KAY...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 45 NM OF THE CENTER
OF KAY. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 19N TO
22N BETWEEN 112W AND 117W.

.TROPICAL WAVE AXIS NEAR 93W FROM 06N TO 15N. SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 10N TO 15N BETWEEN 91W AND 96W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH IS ALONG 09N84W TO 09N96W TO 11N105W TO 07N114W
TO 07N118W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM
SOUTH OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 84W AND 90W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 90 NM SOUTH OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH BETWEEN 91W AND 97W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
WITHIN 60 NM OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 101W AND 107W. 

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.