000
FZPN03 KNHC 210941
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1030 UTC SUN AUG 21 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN AUG 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON AUG 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE AUG 23.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KAY NEAR 21.0N 114.1W 1005 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG 21
MOVING NW OR 305 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM W
SEMICIRCLE...40 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM NE QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND WITHIN 75
NM S SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. REMAINDER
OF AREA FROM 18N TO 23N BETWEEN 111W AND 116W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SW AND NW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAY NEAR 21.9N 115.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN RADIUS OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM
OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM NE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE
FROM 20N TO 24N BETWEEN 113W AND 118W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8
TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY NEAR 22.7N 118.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120
NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KAY NEAR 23.6N
121.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KAY NEAR 23.5N
124.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02S BETWEEN 110W AND 118W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 01N TO 08N BETWEEN 110W AND 118W AND S OF
02S BETWEEN 103W AND 114W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN
MIXED SE AND SW SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0830 UTC SUN AUG 21...

.TROPICAL STORM KAY...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 45 NM SW
QUADRANT. SCATTERED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 45 NM E QUADRANT
AND WITHIN 75 NM SW QUADRANT.

.SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM OF COAST OF
GUATEMALA...WITHIN 30 NM OF COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 92W AND
94W...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN 94W AND 96W.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 109W/111W S OF 15N...SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 07N TO 12N BETWEEN 108W AND 113W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N86W TO 11N88W TO 09N95W TO
10N103W TO 07N112W TO 08N114W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG WITHIN 240 NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 83W AND 88W...WITHIN 210
NM S OF AXIS BETWEEN 90W AND 96W...WITHIN 120 NM N OF AXIS
BETWEEN 93W AND 95W...AND WITHIN 75 NM N OF AXIS BETWEEN 103W
AND 104W.

$$
.FORECASTER MT. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.