000
FZPN03 KNHC 201502
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST 
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 
1630 UTC SAT AUG 20 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT AUG 20.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN AUG 21.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON AUG 22.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...

.TROPICAL STORM KAY NEAR 20.2N 112.6W 1000 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG 20
MOVING NNW OR 345 DEG AT 5 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SW QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 60 NM SW QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT
90 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAY NEAR 21.1N 114.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 17 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 150 NM NW
QUADRANT...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAY NEAR 22.3N 116.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 45 NM OF
CENTER WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM OF
CENTER...EXCEPT 150 NM NW QUADRANT...WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8
TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAY NEAR 23.5N 119.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KAY NEAR 24.0N
122.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KAY NEAR 24.0N
124.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF LINE FROM 02S120W TO 02S110W TO 03.4S113W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SW AND SE SWELL. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC SAT AUG 20...

.TROPICAL STORM KAY...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 120 NM SE AND
30 NM NW SEMICIRCLES.

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 05N TO 10N E OF 83W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N84W TO 09N96W TO 08N103W TO 10N110W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 30 NM OF THE MONSOON
TROUGH BETWEEN 84W AND 88W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 98W AND 104W.  

$$
.FORECASTER AL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.