000
FZPN03 KNHC 192108
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC FRI AUG 19 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC FRI AUG 19.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT AUG 20.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN AUG 21.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM KAY NEAR 18.8N 111.7W 1001 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG 19
MOVING NW OR 310 DEG AT 6 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM E SEMICIRCLE...
50 NM SW QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 45 NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16
FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM SW
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. WITHIN 120 NM SE
OF A LINE FROM 19N112W TO 15N116W TO 13N118W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW TO W SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAY NEAR 20.0N 112.9W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 30 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 40 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 90 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAY NEAR 21.0N 114.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 40 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM W SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 45 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 120 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM KAY NEAR 21.8N 116.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KAY NEAR 22.4N
117.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW KAY NEAR 22.9N
120.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2115 UTC FRI AUG 19...

.TROPICAL STORM KAY...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM SW
QUADRANT. SCATTERED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120 NM W AND 60 NM E
SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 30 NM 
OF 16N113.5W.

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG FROM 12N TO 15N BETWEEN
135W AND 137W.  

.SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 18N TO 20N BETWEEN 103W AND 107W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 09N84W TO 10N94W TO 08N100W TO
10N106W. IT RESUMES AT 16N115W TO 15N122W TO 13N126W TO 10N135W.
SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED IS WITHIN 120 NM S OF THE AXIS
BETWEEN 125W AND 121W...AND WITHIN 60 NM NW OF THE AXIS
BETWEEN 133W AND 135W.

$$
.FORECASTER AGUIRRE. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.