000
FZPN03 KNHC 082117
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC MON AUG 8 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC MON AUG 08.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC TUE AUG 09.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC WED AUG 10.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM JAVIER NEAR 22.5N 109.6W 998 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG
08 MOVING NW OR 315 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 30 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 0 NM W
SEMICIRCLE...75 NM NE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JAVIER NEAR 24.3N 111.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N AND 50 NM S SEMICIRCLE. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 45 NM SE QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE
OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 90 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM JAVIER NEAR 26.2N 113.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS. OVER FORECAST WATERS
WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION JAVIER INLAND NEAR 27.5N
114.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVETTE W OF AREA NEAR 17.1N 141.7W. FROM
18N TO 21N W OF 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN NE
TO E SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.S OF 02S W OF 115W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.36 HOUR FORECAST N OF 29N BETWEEN 123W AND 131W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 122W AND 132W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN N SWELL.

.36 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF CALIFORNIA N OF 30N SE TO S WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2100 UTC MON AUG 8...

.TROPICAL STORM JAVIER...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60
NM OF CENTER. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 105 NM OF CENTER.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 08N91W TO 15N107W TO 10N125W TO
10N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM S OF
TROUGH AXIS BETWEEN 85W AND 99W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 75
NM OF AXIS BETWEEN 123W AND 138W.

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.