000
FZPN03 KNHC 071538
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC SUN AUG 07 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SUN AUG 07.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON AUG 08.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE AUG 09.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM IVETTE NEAR 17.2N 138.4W 1005 MB AT 1500 UTC AUG
07 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 45 NM S SEMICIRCLE
WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 16N TO
21N BETWEEN 135W AND 139W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 12 TO 19 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 13N TO 23N W OF 134W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVETTE NEAR 18.3N 141.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER NE QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 18N TO 22N W
OF 138W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA
OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 17N TO 23N W OF 137W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW IVETTE NEAR 18.3N
145.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT. OVER FORECAST
WATERS WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E NEAR 18.7N 105.0W 1002 MB AT 1500
UTC AUG 07 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. ELSEWHERE FROM 17N TO 20N E OF 107W
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 16N
TO 20N BETWEEN 102W AND 109W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9
FT IN SE SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELEVEN-E NEAR 20.7N 108.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM E SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SW QUADRANT AND 20 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND
WITHIN 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 19N
TO 23N BETWEEN 106W AND 110W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 18N TO 24N BETWEEN 105W AND 111W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELEVEN-E NEAR 22.8N 110.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND
30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM S AND 60
NM N SEMICIRCLES OVER WATER WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
150 NM S AND 60 NM N SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12
FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ELEVEN-E NEAR 25.2N 112.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL ELEVEN-E NEAR 27.5N 113.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.S OF A LINE FROM 02S120W TO 03.4S111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
8 FT IN SW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF A LINE FROM 01S120W TO 03.4S116W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1430 UTC SUN AUG 7...

.TROPICAL STORM IVETTE...FROM 17N TO 19N BETWEEN 137W AND 139W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG FROM 16N TO 20N BETWEEN
135W AND 137W. 

.TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E...NUMEROUS STRONG FROM 21N TO 25N
BETWEEN 106W AND 109W. NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 120 NM TO THE
NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER...WITHIN 30 NM OF THE CENTER IN THE
EASTERN QUADRANT...AND WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER ELSEWHERE.
NUMEROUS STRONG ALSO FROM 18N TO 20N BETWEEN 106W AND 108W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM ON EITHER
SIDE OF 15N102W 13N106W 12N110W 11N117W 11N120W.

SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM ON EITHER
SIDE OF THE LINE FROM 06N78W TO 08N85W TO 11N89W TO 10N93W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

DISCONTINUOUS MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N114W TO 13N120W TO 09N131W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 60 NM TO THE SOUTH
OF THE MONSOON TROUGH BETWEEN 113W AND 120W.

$$
.FORECASTER MT. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.