000
FZPN03 KNHC 070235
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SUN AUG 7 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SUN AUG 07.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON AUG 08.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE AUG 09.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM IVETTE NEAR 16.7N 136.4W 1005 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG
07 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 90
NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 135 NM N AND
75 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER AREA FROM 13N TO 21N W OF 133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVETTE NEAR 17.9N 139.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 105 NM N AND 45 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20
TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER AREA FROM 15N TO 23N W OF
136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW IVETTE W OF AREA
NEAR 18.5N 142.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 19N TO 21N W OF 139W E WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW IVETTE NEAR 17.9N
146.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 17N103W 1002 MB. FROM 16N TO 18N BETWEEN 101W AND
105W SW TO W WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
20N107W 1000 MB. WITHIN 75 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
TO 11 FT. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
21N109W 1002 MB. WITHIN 120 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS
TO 13 FT.

.S OF 02S W OF 110W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0200 UTC SUN AUG 7...

.TROPICAL STORM IVETTE...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
WITHIN 90 TO 150 NM NE OF CENTER. 

.NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG FROM 16N TO 20N BETWEEN 102W
AND 107W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

DISCONTINUOUS MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W TO 09N91W RESUMES FROM
13N104W TO 10N132W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 11N TO 14N BETWEEN
99W AND 107W.

$$
.FORECASTER MUNDELL. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.