000
FZPN03 KNHC 050936
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC FRI AUG 05 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC FRI AUG 05.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SAT AUG 06.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC SUN AUG 07.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM IVETTE NEAR 14.9N 129.7W 1002 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG
05 MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30
NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM N AND
150 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IVETTE NEAR 15.8N 133.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
120 NM NW SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM
SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT AND 300 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20
TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN 240 NM SW
QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IVETTE NEAR 17.2N 136.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
180 NM NW AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 360 NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 13N TO 15N W OF 135W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IVETTE NEAR 18.5N 139.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVETTE NEAR 19.0N 142.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW IVETTE NEAR 18.8N
146.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.REMNANT LOW OF HOWARD W OF AREA NEAR 22N143W. OVER FORECAST
WATERS FROM 22N TO 28N W OF 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO
10 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.12 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS ASSOCIATED WITH REMNANT LOW OF
HOWARD MOVED W OF AREA. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0830 UTC FRI AUG 5...

.TROPICAL STORM IVETTE...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG
WITHIN 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM SE SEMICIRCLE. 

.CLUSTERS OF MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION ALONG AND S OF THE
COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA AND NEAR THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF A
LINE FROM 05N78W TO 09N102W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 12N107W TO 09N116W TO 11N121W. ITCZ FROM
11N133W TO BEYOND 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
FROM 07N TO 12N BETWEEN 109W AND 120W.

$$
.FORECASTER MCELROY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.