000
FZPN03 KNHC 050247
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC FRI AUG 05 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC FRI AUG 05.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT AUG 06.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN AUG 07.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM IVETTE NEAR 14.8N 128.7W 1002 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG
05 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30
NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE...AND 90NM SW WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8
TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 13N TO 19N BETWEEN 125W AND
131W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IVETTE NEAR 15.3N 132.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
120 NM N SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE...150NM
SE...AND 90NM SW WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER
OF AREA FROM 12N TO 20N BETWEEN 128W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IVETTE NEAR 16.6N 135.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
150 NM N SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT
WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE...180
NM SE...AND 120 NM SW WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 12N TO 22N BETWEEN 132W AND 140W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IVETTE NEAR 18.0N 138.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IVETTE NEAR 18.7N 142.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVETTE NEAR 19.0N 146.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.REMNANT LOW OF HOWARD JUST W OF AREA. OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM
22N TO 27N W OF 137W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30 KT...EXCEPT E TO SE
S OF 24N. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE W OF A LINE FROM 29N140W
TO 25N136W TO 20N140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN
MIXED SWELL. 
.18 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS ASSOCIATED WITH REMNANT LOW OF
HOWARD MOVED W OF AREA. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0215 UTC THU AUG 5...

.TROPICAL STORM IVETTE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN
120 NM SE SEMICIRCLE. NUMEROUS MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM
SE AND 60 NM NW SEMICIRCLES. 

.CLUSTER OF MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION OVER THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC N OF 15N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 12N103W TO 09N114W TO 11N120W. ITCZ AXIS
FROM 11N130W TO 09N135W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 07N
TO 10N BETWEEN 108W AND 118W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS NEAR 11N111W
AND FROM 10N TO 11.5N W OF 136W.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.