000
FZPN03 KNHC 042132
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC THU AUG 04 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC THU AUG 04.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC FRI AUG 05.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SAT AUG 06.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM IVETTE NEAR 14.7N 127.3W 1002 MB AT 2100 UTC AUG
04 MOVING W OR 270 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30
NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IVETTE NEAR 15.0N 131.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...50 NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 60 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 120 NM N
SEMICIRCLE...90 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE...150 NM SE...AND
90NM SW WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA
FROM 12N TO 19N BETWEEN 128W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS8
TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IVETTE NEAR 16.1N 134.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 150NM N
SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS
TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM N SEMICIRCLE...180 NM SE...AND
120 NM SW WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA
FROM 12N TO 22N BETWEEN 131W AND 140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.SEAS 8
TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IVETTE NEAR 17.4N 137.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IVETTE NEAR 18.5N 141.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IVETTE NEAR 19.0N 144.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.REMNANT LOW OF HOWARD NEAR 22N140W 1011 MB. OVER FORECAST
WATERS FROM 22N TO 28N W OF 137W NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 30
KT...EXCEPT E TO SE S OF 23N. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM
18N TO 29N W OF 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN
MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST CONDITIONS ASSOCIATED WITH REMNANT LOW OF
HOWARD MOVED W OF AREA. WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 14.5N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W N WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1800 UTC WED AUG 4...

.TROPICAL STORM IVETTE...NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN
120 NM SE SEMICIRCLE. NUMEROUS MODERATE ELSEWHERE WITHIN 150 NM
SE AND 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLES. 

.REMNANT LOW OF HOWARD...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 120 NM N
SEMICIRCLE. 

.TROUGH FROM 15N93W TO 12N94W...SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 12N TO
15N W OF TROUGH TO 98W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 11N102W TO 09N112W. ITCZ AXIS FROM 10N130W
TO 09N135W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 07N TO 09N
BETWEEN 107W AND 109W AND WITHIN 90 NM N OF TROUGH BETWEEN 113 W
AND 116W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS WITHIN 150 NM S OF AXIS W OF
130W.

$$
.FORECASTER GR. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.