000
FZPN03 KNHC 030933
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC WED AUG 03 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC WED AUG 03.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU AUG 04.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC FRI AUG 05.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM IVETTE NEAR 14.2N 119.2W 1005 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG
03 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 17 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NE
QUADRANT...30 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 40 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NE AND 45 NM
SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM IVETTE NEAR 15.0N 124.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND
20 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 16 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NW AND
90 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IVETTE NEAR 15.4N 130.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 60 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM
SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NW AND 90 NM SE
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NW AND
120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IVETTE NEAR 16.0N 134.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IVETTE NEAR 17.0N 138.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE IVETTE NEAR 18.0N 142.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM HOWARD NEAR 20.3N 132.6W 1005 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG
03 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT
GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE
QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 50 NM NW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...45
NM SE QUADRANT...90 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM N SEMICIRCLE...180 NM SE
AND 90 NM SW QUADRANTS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 16N TO 25N BETWEEN 126W AND 136W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION HOWARD NEAR 21.7N 137.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER
FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 300 NM NW AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS
20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 16N TO 29N
W OF 133W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HOWARD W OF AREA
NEAR 22.3N 143.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
OVER FORECAST WATERS FROM 22N TO 27N W OF 138W WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HOWARD NEAR 22.5N
148.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HOWARD NEAR 22.3N
153.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HOWARD NEAR 21.8N
158.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 14.5N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W N WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC WED AUG 03...

.TROPICAL STORM HOWARD...SCATTERED WEAK TO MODERATE WITHIN 180 NM
N SEMICIRCLE.  

.TROPICAL STORM IVETTE...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 150
NM NW SEMICIRCLE AND 210 NM SW QUADRANT. SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 115W AND 117W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM 10N75W TO 09N93W TO 09N106W TO
12N109W. ITCZ EXTENDS FROM 12.5N133W TO BEYOND 11N140W.
SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
NOTED WITHIN 240 NM N AND 180 NM S OF TROUGH E OF 92W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 120 NM EITHER
SIDE OF TROUGH BETWEEN 101W AND 109W. 

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.