000
FZPN03 KNHC 020943
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC TUE AUG 02 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC TUE AUG 02.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED AUG 03.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC THU AUG 04.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM HOWARD NEAR 18.3N 127.6W 999 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG
02 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...0 NM SW QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM NE QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...0 NM
SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HOWARD NEAR 20.5N 132.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE QUADRANT...90
NM SE QUADRANT...30 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT WITH
SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 16N
TO 25N BETWEEN 126W AND 136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT
IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL HOWARD NEAR 22.1N 137.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND
60 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST
WATERS FROM 21N TO 30N W OF 134W WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11
FT. FROM 16N TO 21N W OF 136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT
IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HOWARD NEAR 22.9N
143.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HOWARD NEAR 23.2N
149.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HOWARD NEAR 23.2N
154.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 14.5N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 96W N TO
NE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 15N BETWEEN 94.5W AND
95.5W N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 14.5N BETWEEN 94.5W
AND 95.5W N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.

.S OF 03.5N BETWEEN 106W AND 128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9
FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02S BETWEEN 102W AND 120W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 113W WITH DEVELOPING LOW PRES 1011 MB NEAR
11.5N112.5W. WITHIN 150 NM NE SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES 1011 MB NEAR 13N118.5W. WITHIN 240 NM
N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT IN E WIND WAVES AND
SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...1009 MB
NEAR 13.5N124W. WITHIN 300 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 9 FT IN E WIND WAVES AND SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC TUE AUG 02...

.TROPICAL STORM HOWARD...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE
TO STRONG WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 30 NM SW SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE FROM 90 NM TO 210 NM SE QUADRANT.

.TROPICAL WAVE FROM 08N TO 17N ALONG 113W...SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG FROM 07.5N TO 16.5N BETWEEN 109W AND 115W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM LOW PRES NEAR 07N76W TO 10N86W TO
07.5N95W TO LOW PRES NEAR 11.5N112.5W TO 09N122W. ITCZ EXTENDS
FROM S OF TROPICAL STORM HOWARD NEAR 13N126W TO BEYOND 09N140W.
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 120 NM N
AND 180 NM S OF TROUGH E OF 85W...AND WITHIN 120 NM N AND 150 NM
S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 95W AND 104W. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED
STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 60 NM N AND 120 NM S OF ITCZ
BETWEEN 126W AND 137W.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.