000
FZPN03 KNHC 020322
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC TUE AUG 02 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC TUE AUG 02.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC WED AUG 03.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC THU AUG 04.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM HOWARD NEAR 17.7N 126.4W 999 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG
02 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT
GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 50 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...60 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT
OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 30 NM SW SEMICIRCLE
WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NE AND 120 NM SW
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HOWARD NEAR 20.0N 130.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. LITTLE CHANGE IN
RADIUS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NE AND 180 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL HOWARD NEAR 22.0N 136.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 30 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...40 NM NE QUADRANT AND 0
NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE
AND 30 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270
NM NE QUADRANT...180 NM SE QUADRANT...240 NM SW QUADRANT AND 180
NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HOWARD NEAR 22.9N
142.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HOWARD NEAR 23.3N
147.1W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HOWARD NEAR 23.2N
152.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN 15 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO
15N95.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.06 HOUR FORECAST 15 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W TO
14N95.5W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 15 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W
TO 14N95W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.
.42 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.S OF 03N BETWEEN 111W AND 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9
FT IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 02S BETWEEN 105W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.30 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR 
12N120W 1009 MB. WITHIN 240 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS TO 8 FT IN E WIND WAVES AND SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
12N124W 1009 MB. WITHIN 300 NM N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS TO 9 FT IN E WIND WAVES AND SW SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0230 UTC TUE AUG 02...

.TROPICAL STORM HOWARD...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG
WITHIN 90 NM NE SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ELSEWHERE FROM
13N TO 19N BETWEEN 122W AND 127W.

.TROPICAL WAVE FROM 09N TO 15N ALONG 110W...SCATTERED MODERATE
ISOLATED STRONG FROM 06N TO 16N BETWEEN 109W AND 115W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N86W TO 08N94W TO 12N107W TO 09N116W TO
11N119W...THEN RESUMES S OF T.S. HOWARD NEAR 11N127W TO 10N137W.
ITCZ CONTINUES FROM 10N137W TO BEYOND 10N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION FROM 06N TO 14N BETWEEN 94W
AND 103W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 06N TO 10N BETWEEN 106W AND
110W AND ALONG AND UP TO 180 NM S OF THE MONSOON TROUGH AXIS
BETWEEN 124W AND 137W.

$$
.FORECASTER MCELROY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.