000
FZPN03 KNHC 010915
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC MON AUG 01 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON AUG 01.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE AUG 02.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED AUG 03.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM HOWARD NEAR 16.1N 122.9W 1005 MB AT 0900 UTC AUG
01 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT
GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 0 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS TO 12 FT WITHIN 0 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 45 NM NE QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NW AND 300 NM
SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM HOWARD NEAR 18.0N 127.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 50 NM N SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WITH
SEAS TO 13 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NW AND 180 NM SE
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL HOWARD NEAR 20.2N 132.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N SEMICIRCLE...30 NM SE QUADRANT AND 0 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N SEMICIRCLE WITH
SEAS TO 15 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM N AND 120 NM S
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HOWARD NEAR 21.9N
137.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HOWARD NEAR 22.6N
143.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW HOWARD NEAR 22.7N
149.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N OF 14.5N N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8
FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.N OF 29N BETWEEN 130W AND 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8
FT IN NE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.12 HOUR FORECAST SW OF LINE FROM 01.5S120W TO 03.4S114W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST SW OF LINE FROM 03N120W TO 03.4S110W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0830 UTC MON AUG 01...

.TROPICAL STORM HOWARD...SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS MODERATE
TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM NE AND 150 NM SW SEMICIRCLES.

.TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 108W FROM 07N TO 16N...SCATTERED MODERATE
TO STRONG FROM 06.5N TO 13N BETWEEN 105W AND 116W. WIDELY
SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM 13N TO 19N BETWEEN 104W AND
108.5W. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM LOW PRES NEAR 07.5N74W TO 10N86W TO
07.5N95W TO 11N116W...WHERE IT HAS FRACTURED FROM HOWARD.
MONSOON TROUGH RESUMES FROM 13N125W TO 10N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION NOTED WITHIN 150 NM N AND 120 NM S
OF TROUGH E OF 96W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION
NOTED WITHIN 180 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 125W AND 134W. 

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.