000
FZPN03 KNHC 211552 CCA
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC THU JUL 21 2016

ADDED AREA FOR COMBINED SEAS S OF MEXICO

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC THU JUL 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC FRI JUL 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SAT JUL 23.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 20.1N 128.1W 997 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL
21 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 13 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NE
QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW
QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150
NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...120 NM SW QUADRANT...AND
180 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM
NW AND 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT
PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 21.9N 132.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE...50 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW
QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210
NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 270 NM NW AND 210 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 24.8N
137.5W. WITHIN 210 NM NW AND 75 NM SE SEMICIRCLES OF CENTER
WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM N
AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 11 FT
PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 27.5N
142.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 30.0N
146.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.TROPICAL STORM DARBY W OF AREA. FROM 19N TO 25N W OF 138W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.LOW PRES NEAR 10N113W 1008 MB. WITHIN 210 NM SE QUADRANT OF
CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
11N117W 1009 MB. WITHIN 300 NM NE QUADRANT NE TO E WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
11.5N123W 1008 MB. WITHIN 60 NM NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT.
SEAS TO 8 FT.
 
.LOW PRES NEAR 13N103W 1008 MB. WITHIN 300 NM NE SEMICIRCLE OF
CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
15N107W 1008 MB. WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT E TO SE WINDS 20 TO
25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
18N110W 1007 MB. WITHIN 180 NM NE AND 60 NM SW SEMICIRCLE WINDS
20 TO 30 KT. SEAS TO 10 FT.

.BETWEEN 07N AND 16N BETWEEN 94W AND 106W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.18 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W
TO 15N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. ELSEWHERE BETWEEN 07N AND 16N BETWEEN
94W AND 105W SEAS 8 TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1430 UTC THU JUL 21...

.TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE...SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG
WITHIN 120 NM NW SEMICIRCLE.

.LOW PRES NEAR 12N102W...NUMEROUS MODERATE SCATTERED STRONG 
WITHIN 420 NM NW QUADRANT AND 270 NM NE QUADRANT. SCATTERED
MODERATE WITHIN 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLE.

.LOW PRES NEAR 10N112W...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
WITHIN 390 NM W SEMICIRCLE AND 210 NM E SEMICIRCLE.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 07N78W TO LOW PRES 13N103W TO LOW PRES
10N113W TO 09N121W TO 14N138E TO BEYOND 14N140W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 180 NM OF A LINE FROM 07N78W TO
06N86W TO 08N99W.

$$
.FORECASTER MCELROY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.