000
FZPN03 KNHC 210255
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC THU JUL 21 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

SECURITE

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC THU JUL 21.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC FRI JUL 22.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SAT JUL 23.

.WARNINGS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM DARBY W OF AREA NEAR 19.8N 142.6W 1002 MB AT
0300 UTC MOVING W OR 260 DEG AT 11 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM
NE...40 NM SE...50 NM SW...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANTS. ELSEWHERE
OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 330 NM NE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33
KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 18N TO 26N W OF
136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY W OF AREA NEAR 19.6N
144.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER W OF AREA. OVER
FORECAST WATERS FROM 19N TO 25N W OF 138W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY W OF AREA NEAR 19.2N
146.9W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER W OF AREA. OVER
FORECAST WATERS ASSOCIATED WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8
FT.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 19.5N 125.5W 993 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL
21 MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 12 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT
GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 110 NM NW AND SE
QUADRANTS...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM SW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM SE QUADRANT...
150 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 26 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 13N TO 25N
BETWEEN 120W AND 131W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 10 FT IN
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 20.8N 130.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...80 NM NE QUADRANT AND
50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NW
SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 21 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 13N TO 27N
BETWEEN 125W AND 136W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT IN
MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 23.5N
135.3W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT. WITHIN 210 NM
NE AND 90 NM SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 19 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 17N TO 29N W OF 129W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 26.9N
139.6W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 30.5N
142.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 20 KT GUSTS 30 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST...DISSIPATED.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.LOW PRES NEAR 10N100.5W 1008 MB. FROM 120 NM TO 270 NM NE
SEMICIRCLE OF LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. FROM 05N TO
10N BETWEEN 92W AND 102W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN
SW SWELL AND MIXED WIND WAVES.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
13N105W 1008 MB. WITHIN 240 NM N QUADRANT AND E SEMICIRCLE WINDS
20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE FROM 11N TO 17N BETWEEN
99W AND 106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL AND E
WIND WAVES. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES...POSSIBLE TROPICAL CYCLONE...NEAR
14.5N107.5W 1007 MB. WITHIN 180 NM NE SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM
S QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT. 

.LOW PRES NEAR 09.5N110.5W 1009 MB. WITHIN 150 NM SE QUADRANT OF
LOW WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT. FROM 05N TO 11N BETWEEN
104W AND 111W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN SW SWELL AND
MIXED WIND WAVES.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 11N114W 1009 MB. WITHIN 300 NM
NE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL AND
MIXED WIND WAVES. FROM 05N TO 10N BETWEEN 108W AND 121W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LOW PRES NEAR 11.5N118W 1010 MB. WITHIN 120 NM
N SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. WITHIN 360 NM S
SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN SW SWELL
AND MIXED WIND WAVES.

.FROM 14N TO 15.5N BETWEEN 95.5W AND 99W NE TO E WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.30 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 16N95W
TO 15N96W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N TO NE WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0200 UTC THU JUL 21...

.TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS MODERATE
TO STRONG WITHIN 90 NM NW SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM E AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLES.

.LOW PRES NEAR 10N100.5W...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG FROM
07N TO 14N BETWEEN 97W AND 104W.

.LOW PRES NEAR 09.5N110.5W...SCATTERED TO LOCALLY NUMEROUS
MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 240 NM W SEMICIRCLE. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS FROM LOW PRES 1008 MB OVER COLOMBIA NEAR
09N73W TO 07N83W TO LOW PRES 1008 MB NEAR 10N100.5W TO LOW PRES
1009 MB NEAR 09.5N110.5W TO 14N122W. SCATTERED MODERATE TO
STRONG FROM 07N TO 10N E OF 87W AND ALSO FROM 12.5N TO 15N
BETWEEN 92W AND 102W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN
180 NM S OF TROUGH BETWEEN 114W AND 123W.

$$
.FORECASTER STRIPLING. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.