000
FZPN03 KNHC 181615
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1630 UTC MON JUL 18 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC MON JUL 18.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC TUE JUL 19.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC WED JUL 20.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 18.7N 131.1W 988 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 18
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS
80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE...70
NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS
12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...210 NM NW
QUADRANT AND 90 NM SE QUADRANT. SEAS TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
180 NM NW AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 19.7N 135.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 70 NM N SEMICIRCLE...50 NM SE QUADRANT AND 40 NM SW
QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180
NM NW AND 120 NM SE SEMICIRCLES. SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
240 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 20.2N 139.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW
QUADRANT. OVER FORECAST WATERS WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLES. SEAS TO 19 FT.
ELSEWHERE FROM 16N TO 25N W OF 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 19.6N 144.3W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR
GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 18.7N 149.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL DEPRESSION DARBY NEAR 18.8N 152.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 17.7N 114.9W 991 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL
18 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 130 NM E SEMICIRCLE...80
NM SW QUADRANT AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS
12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM S SEMICIRCLE...210 NM NE QUADRANT
AND 270 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS TO 29 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 330 NM OF
CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 18.7N 118.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 130 NM E SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SW QUADRANT AND 110 NM NW
QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 270
NM AND 210 NM S SEMICIRLCES. SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 330
NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 19.5N 122.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...130 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM
SW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
300 NM N AND 240 NM S SEMICIRLCES. SEAS TO 33 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
360 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 20.9N 127.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 23.5N 132.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST- TROPICAL REMNANT LOW ESTELLE NEAR 27.5N
136.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND
INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.N OF 22N W OF 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED N
AND SE SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 23N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO
9 FT PRIMIARLY IN NE SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM 25N TO 27N W OF 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS TO 9 FT IN MIXED SWELL.

.GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT IN N
SWELL. 
.06 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST N OF 15N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING THE
GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO
14N96W...INCLUDING GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
TO 10 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.
.36 HOUR FORECAST N OF 14N BETWEEN 94W AND 96W...INCLUDING GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO 9 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
75 NM EITHER SIDE OF LINE FROM 16N95W TO 14N96W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED N AND SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16N94.5W TO
13.5N95W... INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25
KT. SEAS TO 9 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST FROM 11N TO 13N W OF 88W...INCLUDING GULF OF
PAPAGAYO...E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. 
.36 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST FROM FROM 11N TO 13N W OF 88W...INCLUDING GULF OF
PAPAGAYO...E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF 00N BETWEEN 95W AND 110W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 1200 UTC MON JUL 18...

.HURRICANE DARBY...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 60 NM OF THE CENTER

.TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE...NUMEROUS STRONG 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM
NE AND 120 NM SW SEMICIRCLES.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 09N85W TO 08N95W TO 11N110W. SCATTERED
MODERATE WITHIN 180 NM SOUTH OF THE AXIS BETWEEN 85W AND 110W.

$$
.FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.