000
FZPN03 KNHC 180906
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC MON JUL 18 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC MON JUL 18.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE JUL 19.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC WED JUL 20.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 18.5N 130.2W 985 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 18
MOVING W OR 275 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS
85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE...70
NM SE AND 60 NM SW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150
NM NE AND SW QUADRANTS...180 NM NW AND 120 NM SE QUADRANTS.
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM SE AND
WITHIN 150 NM NW SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 30 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 14N W OF 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 19.3N 134.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM AND 60 NM S SEMICIRCLES. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 25 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA N OF 15N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 20.0N 138.7W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 70 NM N AND 50 NM S SEMICIRCLES. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT 
AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES
WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 13N TO 28N W OF 135W 
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 19.6N 143.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 18.6N 148.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 18.3N 151.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 17.2N 114.0W 991 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL
18 MOVING W NW OR 290 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT
GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 130 NM E
SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SW AND 100 NM NW QUADRANTS. SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...210 NM NE AND 150 NM
SW QUADRANTS. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
180 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA WITHIN
FROM 12N TO 27N BETWEEN 111W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 18.3N 117.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 130 NM E SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SW AND 110 NM NW QUADRANTS.
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM OF
CENTER WITH SEAS TO 35 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 11N TO 28N
BETWEEN 115W AND 131W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT
PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 19.2N 121.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...130 NM NE AND 80 NM SW
QUADRANTS. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
180 NM N AND 210 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 38 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 13N TO 28N BETWEEN 120W AND 140W WINDS 20
KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL. 
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 20.2N 125.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 22.0N 130.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST POST-TROPICAL ESTELLE NEAR 25.5N 135.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.S OF LINE FROM 02S120W TO 08N100W TO 03.4S90W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF LINE FROM 00N120W TO 10N100W TO 03.4S82W
WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT IN S SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF LINE FROM 00N120W TO 13.5N95W TO 03.4S81W...
EXCEPT NE OF GALAPAGOS ISLANDS...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9
FT IN S SWELL.

.06 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
TO 8 FT IN N SWELL.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 15N BETWEEN 94.5W AND 95.5W...INCLUDING
THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 10 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN 30 NM OF LINE FROM 16N94.5W TO 13.5N95W...
INCLUDING THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS TO
9 FT. 

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC MON JUL 18...

.HURRICANE DARBY...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG 
SURROUNDS 30 NM WIDE EYE WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM 17N128W TO
20N131W. 

.TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 180 NM N
SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN
180 NM OF LINE FROM 13N111W TO 20N114W.
 
.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
A MONSOON TROUGH EXTENDS W FROM 10N85W TO 09N96W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 180 NM OF LINE FROM 06N77W TO
06N90W AND WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE FROM 06N105W TO 13N133W TO
07N140W.

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.