000
FZPN03 KNHC 170904
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1030 UTC SUN JUL 17 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0600 UTC SUN JUL 17.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC MON JUL 18.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0600 UTC TUE JUL 19.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 18.2N 126.6W 974 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL 17
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS
105 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE...
100 NM NE AND 90 NM NW QUADRANTS. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 150 NM S SEMICIRCLE...180 NM NE AND 240 NM
NW QUADRANTS WITH SEAS SEAS TO 35 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 480 NM OF
CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED
SWELL. N OF 25N BETWEEN 123W AND 140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS
8 TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.  
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 18.6N 130.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM N AND WITHIN 70 NM S SEMICIRCLES. WINDS 20 TO 33
KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM E AND WITHIN 240 NM W
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 35 FT. ELSEWHERE N OF 13N BETWEEN 123W
AND 140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 19.4N 134.4W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 80 NM N SEMICIRCLE...60 NM SE AND 50 NM SW
QUADRANTS. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
150 NM E AND 180 NM W SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE
N OF 12N BETWEEN 128W AND 140W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11
FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 20.1N 139.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 19.8N 143.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 18.9N 148.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 16.2N 111.1W 998 MB AT 0900 UTC JUL
17 MOVING W NW OR 285 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT
GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER
EXCEPT 90 NM NE QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR
GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N SEMICIRCLE...120 NM SE AND 150 NM SW
QUADRANTS WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM N AND 420
NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY
IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 17.1N 113.7W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...110 NM NE AND 60 NM SW
QUADRANTS. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
210 NM OF CENTER WITH SEAS TO 31 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 420 NM N
AND 540 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT
PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 17.8N 117.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...130 NM NE AND 80 NM SW
QUADRANTS. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
300 NM NW AND 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 36 FT.
ELSEWHERE FROM 08N TO 29N BETWEEN 110W AND 125W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 18.3N 121.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 18.9N 125.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 20.7N 131.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
 
 FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.S OF LINE FROM 00N120W TO 03.4S98W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO
8 FT PRIMARILY IN S SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST S OF LINE FROM 03.4S120W TO 12N88W TO
04N80W... EXCEPT NE OF GALAPAGOS ISLANDS...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN S SWELL.  
.48 HOUR FORECAST S OF LINE FROM 03.4S120W TO 12N88W TO
05N81W... EXCEPT NE OF GALAPAGOS ISLANDS...WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS TO 8 FT PRIMARILY IN S SWELL.  

.48 HOUR FORECAST GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC N WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS
TO 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0900 UTC SUN JUL 17...

.HURRICANE DARBY...SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
SURROUNDS 15 NM EYE WITHIN 120 NM OF LINE FROM 17N125W TO
20N128W. 

.TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE...NUMEROUS STRONG IN BAND WITHIN 60 NM
OF LINE FROM 16N110W TO 15N109W TO 13N110W TO 14N113W. SCATTERED
MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM SE
AND 180 NM NW SEMICIRCLES. 

.SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 30 NM OF 14N92W AND
16N99W.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
A LOW LEVEL TROUGH EXTENDS W FROM 07.5N78W TO 08.5N98W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 120 NM OF LINES FROM
08N79W TO 07N91W...FROM 06N96W TO 10N111W AND FROM 13N119W TO
10N126W.  

$$
.FORECASTER NELSON. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.