000
FZPN03 KNHC 170238
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SUN JUL 17 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SUN JUL 17.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON JUL 18.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC TUE JUL 19.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 18.2N 125.8W 970 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 17
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT
GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE
QUADRANT...60 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW
QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210
NM NW AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 34 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 300 NM NW AND 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 18.7N 129.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM N AND 70 NM S SEMICIRCLES. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NW AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES
WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM NW AND 180 NM SE
SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 19.1N 133.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW
QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210
NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 270 NM N AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 19.7N 136.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 19.7N 141.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 18.7N 146.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 16.1N 110.4W 1000 MB AT 0300 UTC
JUL 17 MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45
KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM OF
CENTER... EXCEPT 90 NM NE QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS
12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S
SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 20 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM N AND 150
NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 16.9N 112.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...110 NM NE QUADRANT AND
60 NM SW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 210 NM N AND 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 27 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM N AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 17.7N 115.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...130 NM NE QUADRANT AND
80 NM SW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 240 NM N AND 210 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 31 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 18.4N 118.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 18.9N 123.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 20.3N 128.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.N OF 26N BETWEEN 123W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO
9 FT IN N SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE N OF 24N W OF 125W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE N OF 24N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN N SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0230 UTC SUN JUL 17...

.HURRICANE DARBY...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM NW AND 60 NM
SE SEMICIRCLES. 

.TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE... NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 90 NM
E SEMICIRCLE. SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 120
NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM W SEMICIRCLES. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N78W TO 09N90W TO 12N107W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 120 NM S OF TROUGH AXIS E OF 85W.
SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN 210 NM S OF THE AXIS
BETWEEN 90W AND 105W. 

$$
.FORECASTER COBB. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.