000
FZPN03 KNHC 162059
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2230 UTC SAT JUL 16 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 1800 UTC SAT JUL 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC SUN JUL 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1800 UTC MON JUL 18.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 18.0N 124.9W 962 MB AT 2100 UTC JUL 16
MOVING WNW OR 285 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT
GUSTS 120 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE
QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW
QUADRANT.  WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
210 NM NW AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 35 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 300 NM NW AND 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 18.5N 128.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW
QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210
NM NW AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 270 NM NW AND 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 19.0N 132.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW
QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210
NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 270 NM N AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 19.7N 136.6W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 19.7N 141.1W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 18.7N 146.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 15.8N 109.7W 1000 MB AT 2100 UTC
JUL 16 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
45KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM NW
AND SE QUADRANTS...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW QUADRANT.
WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 120 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 90 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 19 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 210 NM N AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 TO 12FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 16.7N 112.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 90 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...110 NM NE QUADRANT AND
60 NM SW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 210 NM N AND 180 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 27 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM N AND 240 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 17.7N 115.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...130 NM NE QUADRANT AND
80 NM SW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 240 NM N AND 210 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 31 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 18.4N 118.9W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 18.9N 123.2W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 20.3N 128.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.12 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 123W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN N SWELL. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 24N W OF 125W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
TO 10 FT IN N SWELL. 
.48 HOUR FORECAST ELSEWHERE N OF 24N W OF 128W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT PRIMARILY IN N SWELL.

.36 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 88W...INCLUDING THE GULF
OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 2045 UTC SAT JUL 16...

.HURRICANE DARBY...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60-75 NM OF CENTER.

.TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN
180 NM S SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM NW QUADRANT. 

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N75W TO 09N90W TO 12N106W. SCATTERED
MODERATE WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF TROUGH AXIS BETWEEN 80W
AND 102W. 

$$
.FORECASTER COBB. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.