000 FZPN03 KNHC 161608 HSFEP2 HIGH SEAS FORECAST NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1630 UTC SAT JUL 16 2016 SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT. PAN PAN E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE EQUATOR E OF 120W SYNOPSIS VALID 1200 UTC SAT JUL 16. 24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC SUN JUL 17. 48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 1200 UTC MON JUL 18. .WARNINGS. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 15.7N 109.0W 1000 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 16 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 7 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 20 NM S SEMICIRCLE...70 NM NE QUADRANT AND 40 NM NW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 75 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 18 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM N AND 150 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 16.4N 111.4W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM N AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 17.2N 114.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM S SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER 240 NM NE AND 180 SW SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 18.1N 117.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT GUSTS 105 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 18.5N 121.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 19.5N 126.5W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. ...HURRICANE WARNING... .HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 17.8N 123.9W 972 MB AT 1500 UTC JUL 16 MOVING WNW OR 290 DEG AT 9 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NW AND SE QUADRANTS...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 50 NM SW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 210 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 32 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 210 NM NW AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 18.6N 126.8W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM NW AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM NW AND 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .48 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 19.1N 130.7W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE...70 NM SE QUADRANT AND 60 NM SW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 210 NM N AND 180 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 22 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM N AND 140 NM S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL. .72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 19.7N 135.2W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE. .96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 19.9N 140.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT. .120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 19.0N 145.0W. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE AND INTENSITY. .SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST. .18 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 125W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN N SWELL. .24 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N W OF 130W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 9 FT PRIMARILY IN N SWELL. .36 HOUR FORECAST FROM 10N TO 12N E OF 88W...INCLUDING THE GULF OF PAPAGAYO...NE TO E WINDS 20 TO 25 KT. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. .48 HOUR FORECAST LITTLE CHANGE. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC SAT JUL 16... .HURRICANE DARBY...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM OF CENTER. .TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE... SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 60 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 19N108W TO 16N112W TO 14N108W. .REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT. CONVECTION VALID AT 1500 UTC SAT JUL 16... .INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... MONSOON TROUGH FROM 10N85W TO 08N95W TO 12N104W. SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 210 NM SOUTH OF TROUGH AXIS BETWEEN 80W AND 105W. SCATTERED MODERATE ALSO WITHIN 120 NM OF THE COAST FROM WESTERN PANAMA TO SOUTHERN MEXICO EAST OF 105W. $$ .FORECASTER CHRISTENSEN. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.