000
FZPN03 KNHC 160251
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SAT JUL 16 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SAT JUL 16.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN JUL 17.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON JUL 18.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 17.3N 122.1W 972 MB AT 0300 UTC JUL 16
MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 90 KT
GUSTS 110 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. WINDS 20
TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM N AND 150 NM S
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 33 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 270 NM OF THE
CENTER EXCEPT 360 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 18.1N 125.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 110 NM NE QUADRANT...90 NM SE QUADRANT...80 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 100 NM NW QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12
FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180 NM NW AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH
SEAS TO 30 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 360 NM OF THE CENTER WINDS 20 KT
OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE DARBY NEAR 18.7N 128.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM N SEMICIRCLE...80 NM SE QUADRANT AND 70 NM SW
QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180
NM NW AND 150 NM SE SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 27 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 360 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN
MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 19.3N 133.3W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 20.0N 138.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT GUSTS 55 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM DARBY NEAR 20.0N 142.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT GUSTS 50 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 15.2N 108.3W 1005 MB AT 0300 UTC
JUL 16 MOVING WNW OR 300 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 70 NM NE 
QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE 
WITH SEAS TO 13 FT.  ELSEWHERE WITHIN 90 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 60 NM 
S SEMICIRCLES WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. 
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE NEAR 16.1N 111.0W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT GUSTS 65 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM S SEMICIRCLE...100 NM NE QUADRANT AND 80 NM
NW QUADRANT.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 90 NM N AND 60 NM S 
SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 17 FT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 8 TO 12 FT 
WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN
180 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED
SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 16.7N 114.2W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 80 NM S SEMICIRCLE...120 NM NE QUADRANT AND 100 NM NW
QUADRANT. WINDS 20 TO 33 KT AND SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 180
NM N AND 120 NM S SEMICIRCLES WITH SEAS TO 24 FT. ELSEWHERE 
WITHIN 300 NM OF CENTER WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT IN MIXED 
SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 17.5N 117.1W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 18.1N 120.6W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE ESTELLE NEAR 19.0N 125.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.N OF 21N W OF 138W E TO SE WINDS 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.12 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.24 HOUR FORECAST N OF 28N BETWEEN 125W AND 135W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 FT IN N SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST N OF 25N W OF 128W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8
TO 10 FT IN N SWELL.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0230 UTC SAT JUL 16...

.HURRICANE DARBY...NUMEROUS STRONG WITHIN 60 NM NW AND 90 NM SE 
SEMICIRCLES. SCATTERED MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG ELSEWHERE WITHIN 
150 NM OF THE CENTER. 

.T.S. ESTELLE...SCATTERED MODERATE TO STRONG WITHIN 210 NM
NW AND 90 NM SE SEMICIRCLES.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH FROM 08N79W TO 08N95W TO 11N101W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION WITHIN 150-180 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE AXIS E OF 
101W. 

$$
.FORECASTER COBB. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.